Monday, June 15, 2020

June 15, 2020 edition



                                                                                                                                        June 15, 2020
 

It’s NBA Finals Championship time in the sporting world, and it’ll be interesting to see how entertainment may change as our country begins to recover and rebuild from the forced economic shutdown.  Life has been challenging and different the past several months on several fronts for ourselves, our employee teams, and our families.  However, if a person remains committed to the tasks, communicates openly and honestly with their partners, while continuing to refine their skills… things will typically work out in the end!

Weather and Corn Development
We’ll start off this week with hot temperatures, for northeast North Dakota and northwest Minnesota.  Temperatures will cool-off for the latter half of the week, but warm nights will drive our GDD output.  If temps hold close to the forecast, we should accumulate around 150 corn GDD’s over the 7-day span or about two V-stages of corn development for the week. 
https://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/corn... /VStagePrediction.html

I’ll estimate most of the corn in the region was planted around May 15th.  Therefore, I’ll provide NDAWN corn GDD maps starting at that point moving forward for the growing season.  Most of the region sits between 375 to 450 GDD’s for the season to date.  It typically takes an 80-85 RM hybrid about 1000 to 1100 GDD’s to reach the pollination growth stage, so we should hit the half way mark through the vegetative stages at some point in the next week.




The rainfall map for the month of June for our region primarily highlights a lot of variability.  There are several places without a 1.0 inch total of precipitation in the first half of the month and with the wind we’ve had over the past several days, we could be developing drought conditions soon in these locations.
I’ll count on your weather app for the best guidance through the 7-8 day forecast, but looking beyond that, I’ve found this site from NOAA to be fairly reliable for a general 8-14 day outlook (next week).  https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/...  

During this time frame the forecast is to have greater chances of being above average for temperatures, while the precipitation forecast is for above average chances of being drier than average.
The NOAA group also provides three month outlooks.  If we would like to get a bit of insight for the harvest weather outlook for the Sept-Oct-Nov time frame, it can be seen here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/.../long_range/seasonal.php?lead=4

This timeframe forecast from NOAA reveals equal chances for both above and below average precipitation, but for temperatures, there is a slightly greater chance that we should experience warmer than average conditions.  Overall, an optimistic outlook for the autumn harvest weather.


Nationally, the crops are progressing very well, but there are some drought concerns starting to creep into a few areas – western N.Dakota, western Kansas, and southwest through the High Plains – SE Colorado, western Texas, Oklahoma panhandle, and eastern New Mexico.  There is a lot of irrigation through the High Plains, so the overall drought impact should be minor.

https://www.drought.gov/drought/data-maps-tools/current-conditions



Nationwide, the crop condition for corn has declined while soybeans and spring wheat has held steady.  This week, the corn crop is rated at 59% good to excellent (75% last week), while the soybeans rate at 72% good to excellent (72% last week).  Spring wheat remains above average with an 82% crop condition report in the good or excellent category (81% last week).

USDA’s Crop Progress updates are at this website: https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/8336h188j


Many large farm operations have placed dollars into a Corteva TruChoice crop protection account.  At this time of the season, many options still remain to use those resources:

·         Aproach™ and AproachPrima™ – strobularin fungicide for white mold in soybeans, cercospera leaf spot in sugarbeets, and plant health in corn, soybeans and sunflower.  AproachPrima™ is labeled in spring wheat

·         Durango™ - 5.4 lb/gal DMA glyphosate formulation

·         Abundit Edge™ - 5.5 lb/gal K-salt glyphosate formulation (ideal for tank mixing with Enlist One™)

·         EnlistOne™ and EnlistDuo™ – 2,4-D choline for post applications in E3 soybeans.  EnlistDuo™ is pre-mixed with glyphosate, EnlistOne™ is straight 2,4-D choline for tank-mix with glufosinate (Liberty™) or your choice for rate and product of glyphosate

·         Fexepan™ - Dicamba formulation with VaporGrip™ for use in Xtend® soybeans

·         ResolveQ™ - rimsulfuron (Basis™) + thifensulfuron-methyl (Harmony SG™) for volunteer canola control and added broadleaf weed control in corn through V6 growth stage or 20” tall (very rotation friendly)

·         RealmQ™ - mesotrione + rimsulfuron for broadleaf weed control in corn through V6 growth stage.  18 mo to dry beans and sugarbeets

·         WideMatch™ - Starane™ + Stinger™ for broadleaf weed control in corn through the V5 growth stage

·         EverpreX™ - (metolachlor) applied as a tank-mix partner with the glyphosate and/or dicamba/2,4-D choline for residual activity on pigweeds (including waterhemp), lambsquarter, other small seeded broadleaf weeds as well as grass weeds – labeled for corn, soybeans, and sugarbeets.

9th Circuit Court and Enlist Duo™

The same plaintiffs that brought the dicamba lawsuit to the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals, has also brought a pending lawsuit in the same court against Corteva® and the 2,4-D choline product of Enlist Duo™.  If you remember correctly, Enlist Duo™ is the pre-mix of 2,4-D choline and glyphosate.  Even though the lawsuit is in the same court, it is under review in front of a different panel of judges so the outcome could be different.

Enlist One™ (2,4-D choline only) is not targeted by the lawsuit to my understanding and will be available for use in Enlist-3® soybeans this season if an unfavorable ruling should come from the court on Enlist Duo™.

Both the dicamba and now the 2,4-D choline lawsuits are more about EPA’s scrutiny (or lack thereof) around the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) – which analyses crop safety, buffers, drift, volatility, overall environmental safety, etc. – and the Endangered Species Act (ESA) then against Bayer, BASF and Corteva individually for any kind of registration failures. 

The EPA is being thrown into the spotlight for whatever reason and if the courts and media continue this pressure on the EPA, the EPA will become very thorough in approving any new pesticide products.  In the short-term, it’s probably safe to advise that we should all be extra cautious around any and all pesticides this season and into the future with our Personal Protective Equipment (PPE), and in regards to extra caution around minimizing drift and/or volatility.  In the long-term, we may see some very effective products not make the market due to human and/or environmental health concerns… an interesting scenario in times of increasing pesticide resistance.


Soybean Exports Increase
Karen Braun is an excellent follow for those of you on Twitter®.  She has great insight and updates on what is happening with US commodity exports.  Last week, she provided the insight that US net export sales for the week of June 4th hit above trade expectations.  A total of 2.22 mil MT for old crop + new crop is the largest since December 2018.  Braun says that 39% of the total was to China and another 39% went to “unknown” (mostly China I would presume).



Corn Nitrogen Management

Now that we’ve had some big rains in certain geographies across the region, many growers should be concerned about nitrogen loss and considering ideas on replenishing those supplies for the corn (and maybe even wheat).

The corn crop will most likely remain a healthy color for the next couple weeks (depending on pre-plant applied N amounts) as overall corn nitrogen uptake is fairly minimal during early to mid-June in the Far Northern Plains.  Once the corn hits about 6-7 Leaf (V6-V7) growth stage, the corn plant will begin its rapid growth cycle and nitrogen uptake will be very significant (up to 7 lbs/N per day) leading into the reproductive stages.  We must also remind ourselves that corn will uptake approximately 37% of its total nitrogen needs from tassel (VT) to black layer (R6) – Aug/Sept.

The sulfur nutrient can also move very easily in our environment, and I always like to see a bit of sulfur with any side-dress nitrogen applications. 

Some naysayers may point out the fact that even though corn nitrogen use is large, there is very little correlation to applied nitrogen availability and corn yield for our Far Northern Plains region.  Research over a 12-year time-frame at the beginning of the century by NDSU highlighted the fact that only 18.5% of the time corn yield can be predicted by nitrogen availability.  https://www.ag.ndsu.edu/publications/crops/soil-fertility-recommendations-for-corn#section-0

 
Well, 2020 is shaping-up to be one of those 81.5% of the years where a big weather event or two (or three) will greatly impact the maize crop.  We can manage around a big rain in early June much easier than we can a brittle-snap wind event (July), late season drought stress (Aug), hail (anytime), etc.

 


Nitrogen Management Through Satellite Imagery

To further highlight the fact that nitrogen can leach, here are a couple satellite imagery photos only 6-7 days apart from a field this spring in Iowa.  This particular field had all the nitrogen for the season applied pre-plant.  After the farm manager was able to spot this change in plant health (Vegetation Index) across the field, it was determined that a side-dress application would be implemented to offset the leaching caused by some big rains over the past week.

As I often say, what happens in Iowa, eventually happens in North Dakota.  It wouldn’t surprise me if we see some late season nitrogen deficiency in the corn where we have had some 3-5” plus rains earlier this June.



"Granular Insights” is a great tool/app from Pioneer where your sales agent (or myself) can assist you in receiving satellite imagery with weekly e-mail notifications on which fields have changed the greatest from a “Vegetative Index” perspective.  For operations that have numerous fields, this maybe one of the best and easiest tools to help make field by field nitrogen decisions.



 

NDSU Crop and Pest Report – Soybean Herbicide Options

If soybean fields are still un-sprayed and we’re after the June 20th application date in Minnesota for dicamba, then the supplemental edition of the NDSU Crop and Pest Report is a great source.  This supplemental edition covers alternative herbicide use for tough to control broadleaf weeds if dicamba is unavailable to a grower.

·         Waterhemp: PPO herbicides (Group 14) – Flexstar (fomesafen), Cobra or Ultra Blazer – target small weed size (1-2”)

·         Kochia: PPO herbicides (Group 14) – Flexstar (fomesafen), Cobra or Ultra Blazer – target small weed size (1-2”)

·         Common Lambsquarter: Harmony (thifensulfuron)

·         Common Ragweed – FirstRate (cloransulam – Group 2) and Flexstar

·         Horseweed/Maristail – FirstRate

Many of these weed species can be multi-resistant to glyphosate, ALS and/or PPO herbicides, so be diligent in choosing tank-mix partners with glyphosate under the circumstances.  I would consider the use of a layby herbicide (i.e. metolachlor) in conjunction with a post-emerge herbicide mix to aid in further weed control.



Herbicides for V5 or larger corn
With the many days of never ending wind, corn growers may get pinched on the application window for corn.  A couple of the best non-Status options for V5 (12”) or taller corn would be Acuron Flexi™ from Syngenta or Armezon Pro from BASF. 

Acuron Flexi™ corn herbicide has three different molecules (two different Mode of Actions (MOA)) to provide a broad-spectrum of weed control.  The three-way pre-mix is metolachlor, mesotrione, and bicyclopyrone.  The mesotrione (Callisto™) and bicyclopyrone are both HPPD inhibitors (Group 27, while the metolachlor is in the Group 15 class (seedling shoot growth inhibitor).  Mix with glyphosate and/or atrazine for best results.  Labeled to V8 or 30” tall corn for crop stage.  Crop rotation restrictions of 18 months to sugarbeets, canola and most likely dry edible beans in our region.  Apply at 2.0 to 2.25 qts/ac depending on soil organic matter levels.

For the full Acuron Flexi™ label: https://www.syngenta-us.com/current-label/acuron_flexi

BASF’s Armezon Pro™ contains both topramezone (IMPACT™) and dimethenamid (Outlook™) for a broadleaf knockdown plus residual pre-mix.  These molecules are products of the HPPD chemistry class (Group 27 for tropremezone) and the seedling shoot inhibitor class (Group 15 for the dimethenamid).  Highly recommended to mix with glyphosate for grass weed knockdown and/or atrazine for best results.

Use rate of 16-24 fl. oz/ac depending on soil organic matter.  Crop rotation restrictions are 18 months to dry edible beans, canola and sugarbeets.  The product is labeled to V8 or 30” tall corn for crop stage with the recommendation of drop-nozzles above 12” tall corn.

For the full Armezon Pro™ label: http://www.cdms.net/ldat/ldCFJ010.pdf

Random Agricultural Facts – Summer Solstice

A solstice occurs twice a year when the sun is at its furthest distance away from the equator (June and December).  An equinox also occurs twice a year, but it happens when the sun physically crosses the imaginary line in the sky above the Earth’s equator (March and September).  This year, our northern hemisphere summer solstice for the USA will occur on June 20th.

Here are some interesting facts about the June solstice:

·         A solstice (or equinox) will occur at the exact same moment of time for every location on the earth.  For a June solstice, it will be the moment the sun reaches its highest point in the northern sky, (Tropic of Cancer)

·         For June 2020, the summer solstice moment will occur at 4:43 pm CDT on Saturday, June 20th

·         The exact date and time of the solstice will vary from year to year, but will occur between June 20th and 22nd depending on the various time zones across the planet.  A June 22nd solstice is quite rare as the last one occurred in 1975 and the next one is not forecasted until the year 2203

·         If you live on the Arctic Circle, you will experience the one day a year without a sunset, and conversely, if you live on the Antarctic Circle, you will experience the one day a year without a sunrise

·         The daily daylight length will continue to get shorter between the June solstice and the December solstice

·         The Earth does not move at a constant speed in its elliptical orbit, therefore the seasons are not of equal length.  Roughly speaking for the northern hemisphere, the spring season is 92.8 days in length, summer is 93.6 days, autumn is 89.8 days, and thankfully, the winter season is the shortest at 89.0 days

·         The inconsistent speed of the elliptical orbit also creates variability in the amount of daily daylight loss or gain throughout the year

·         The direction of tilt, or amount of tilt in the earth in relation to the sun does not alter over the course of the year.  The seasons change because of a hemisphere’s relation to the sun as the earth orbits.  In June, the northern hemisphere points towards the sun, in December, the southern hemisphere points towards the sun

·         The Summer Solstice date will provide 16 hours 2 minutes of daylength for Grand Forks, ND

·         Conversely, the shortest day of the year (Winter Solstice) for Grand Forks, ND will result in only 8 hours and 23 minutes of daylight

·         It’s interesting to note that the daylight hours on the longest day of the year (16 hrs 2 min), do not match the darkness hours on the shortest day of the year (15 hrs 37 min) for Grand Forks, ND.  If you know why, let me know!




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