Wednesday, December 16, 2020

Dec. 14th, 2020 Edition


 

“I don’t know why they have you guarding me rook.  You can’t guard me... I’m going off for 40 against you tonight.” - Larry Bird to his defensive opponent shortly after game tip-off

 

Dominique Wilkins from the Atlanta Hawks was the rookie of note and the recipient of Larry’s talents (both physically and verbally) on this particular night of NBA action in April of 1983.  Sure enough, Larry’s unbreakable confidence led him to 39 points and a Celtic team blow-out road win (117-95).  Dominique led his team with 16 points for the game, but the disappointing loss did not get him down.  Rather, it helped spur Dominique to dramatically improve in the off-season and by his fourth NBA campaign, the Hawks team would start a streak of 50 win seasons and Dominique himself became a perennial All-Star player.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/198304050ATL.html 

We may have young employees on our farm teams that make mistakes every now and then, but it’s not the mistakes that count – it’s how they respond.  Employees that always keep their head-up and look for ways to improve are the ones that eventually become super valuable.  Your personal leadership and patience in coaching and mentoring these young folks is critical in their development.  Taking the time with your young employees when they are impressionable goes a long way to keeping your team strong and flexible for the future.  Like most businesses, there is always a bit of turn-over, and you never know when an opportunity may arise when you’ll need some of your younger employees to step-up and become an All-Star type player.

 

Regional Weather

Well, we seen a bit of snow on Sunday, and the potential for more precipitation between now and Christmas is likely, but in fairly low quantities.  Temperatures will ratchet down a notch this week as daily high temps won’t get above the freezing mark.  Without any significant snow cover, ambient air temperatures will most likely stay in an above average range due to absorption versus reflection of the sun’s rays.

I’ll count on your weather app for the best guidance through the 7-8 day forecast, but looking beyond that, I’ve found this site from NOAA to be fairly reliable for a general 8-14 day outlook (next week).  https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

For the week entailing Christmas this December, the forecast is to have greater chances of above average temperatures as well as slightly above average chances on the precipitation front.  Unless its significant precipitation as snow, our above average temperature conditions could continue.

The NOAA organization also provides three month outlooks.  If we would like to get a general forecast for the start of the 2021 growing season (May-June-July), it can be seen here:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=6

This forecast currently predicts equal chances on both the temperature and precipitation front for our region.  Equal chances or EC, reveals a forecast of equal proportion of both above and below average conditions developing.  A neutral forecast for the key months of the season is usually a good sign, but with our lingering dry conditions, it could trend to place us in a spot where conserving moisture in the spring will be key.

Interesting to note, most of the Midwest in this May-June-July forecast is predicted for greater chances of above average precipitation and slightly above average temperatures over this time frame.  It could set the stage nicely for some above trend yields in the Midwest, Eastern Corn Belt, and through to the Carolina’s.


Rain in South America



With the primary cropping season underway in Brazil and Argentina, I thought it would be pertinent to review the weather in South America.  With the full crop of corn and soybeans now planted in this region, some value on our US markets are gained by shifting some attention to the cropping season weather the South American farmers are having to endure.

Currently, their soybeans are finishing flowering and being sprayed for rust while the corn is pollinating.  Therefore, the crops are far enough along to be impacted by periods of adverse weather.  As I’m sure you are mostly aware, there have been widespread concerns with dry conditions in the region.  During the first week of December, most areas received some rain, but rainfall totals were not as consistent or widespread as many were hoping.  For a reminder, 25 mm is equal to an inch, and the corn and soybeans are needing about 1.5 to 2 inches (or 37-50) mm per week currently.  

The current LaNina weather pattern is forecasted to give precipitation favor to central Brazil, but trend normal to southern Brazil and Argentina.  As usual, we’ll look to see what develops later this month and into January.

http://www.soybeansandcorn.com/Brazil-Crop-Cycles  https://www.dtnpf.com/...2020/12/10/central-brazil-rain-results...

 

Russian Winter Grain Condition

Earlier this month, Reuters provided a report on the Russian winter wheat conditions.  In 2019, Russia exported the largest US dollar volume ($6.4 bil or 16.7% of world exports) of wheat worldwide, but the US and Canada were a close second and third in the rankings by worldexports.com. 


Russian farmers had dry conditions to sow into this autumn and this was especially true in the southern regions of the country.  It is estimated that 22% of the Russian wheat crop is in poor condition, which is the highest since 2013.  However, the remainder of the crop (78%) is in good to satisfactory condition.  Forecasters have a prediction estimate of 4-8% less wheat from the region this year versus prior year at this time.  If it’s like our US winter wheat crop in the High Plains region, it will live like a cat with 9-lives and find a way to prosper before the end of the winter wheat cycle.

http://www.worldstopexports.com/wheat-exports-country/ https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/share-of-russias-winter...


Product Spotlight: Kyber™ herbicide

Corteva® has a new soybean pre-emerge herbicide out this winter named Kyber™.  Like most new products in the herbicide world, Kyber™ will have various components in the jug.  Specifically speaking for Kyber™, it will contain, flumioxazin (Valor™), metribuzin (Sencor™), and pyroxasulfone (Zidua™).  Targeted weeds include our tough to control glyphosate resistance spectrum of waterhemp, palmer amaranth, kochia, and common ragweed as well as common lambsquarter, redroot pigweed, foxtails, and barnyardgrass.

Overall, it should have a good fit on farms with primarily corn, wheat, soybeans, and sunflower in rotation.  The primary crop rotation restrictions are 18 months to canola, sugarbeet, and potato.

Supplies are available for use this coming spring season.  Use rate is fairly low at 1.0 pint/ac for most field scenarios.

Label: https://s3-us-west-1.amazonaws.com/agrian-cg-fs1-production/pdfs/Kyber_Label1.pdf  


Record High Red-meat Output for US

Production of domestic red-meat volume for the month of October climbed to a record high since data on the topic started to accumulate in 1944.  Earlier this calendar year in May, US red-meat production dipped to a 5-year low due to the pandemic affecting slaughter plants.  Please remember that both pork and beef constitute the red-meat class.

Commercial slaughter head count numbers were down a bit compared to the same month (October) a year ago, indicating heavier animal weights boosted the output.  Chinese imports of US beef set another record with 12.6 mil pounds in October– up 2 mil pounds from the August record. 

This should bode well for grain utilized for animal feed and support strong US beef and pork herd numbers going into 2021.

https://farmpolicynews.illinois.edu/2020/11/record-high-u-s-red-meat...


AgPlenus Trying to Bring New MOA Herbicide to Market

AgPlenus is a crop protection company that focuses on remaining at the innovation level for new products through highly advanced biology and chemistry.  Earlier this month, they announced reaching the “lead stage” (research marker level nearing commercialization) for a brand-new herbicide within their novel mode of action (MOA) herbicide program.  The new herbicide molecule is touted as controlling many of today’s tough to control herbicide resistant weed species. 

It’s good news to finally hear of some truly unique herbicide chemistries that have a strong potential to make an impact towards the future of agriculture and our weed management tactics.  Yes, we have had new herbicides hit the market over the past 10-15 years, but they are just new herbicides under an existing class of chemistry that has already been developed.  A new MOA herbicide hasn’t been developed since the late 1980’s with HPPD inhibitors (i.e. mesotrione or Calisto™).

One of my favorite all-time weed science professors would say that today’s weeds are getting so diverse genetically that they could easily be resistant to new herbicide sites of action.  Therefore, moving into the future, I think it will take additional innovation beyond just new herbicides to stay ahead of the challenge of weed control.  Herbicides will most likely always be a primary part of our weed management tactics, but I think technology will begin to introduce some additional innovative ideas to stay ahead of the challenge.  It will be interesting to see how the landscape evolves over the upcoming 15-20 years in this regard.

http://news.agropages.com/News/NewsDetail---37482.htm https://naldc.nal.usda.gov/download/55079/PDF


Rural Broadband Capabilities to Enhance Dramatically

DTN’s Ag Summit virtual conference was held earlier this month and one of the key note speakers discussed the opportunity ongoing with bringing faster and more reliable data signals to rural areas for agriculture producers.  Having the capability of a consistent data signal or wi-fi signal across the farm will lead to a greater ability to collect valid data and I would think even more innovation in the area.

Recently, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) is expanding access that will allow scientists to work on a spectrum called “TV white space”.  If I understand it correctly, a rural farm house with broadband service will be able to acquire hardware will be able to emit the wi-fi signal through empty over-the-air TV channel wavelengths that will be able to reach as far as 10-20 miles or more.  I would think this technology could come fairly quick and would be a big boost to access data more timely and drive even better and quicker decision making for our farm managers.

https://www.dtnpf.com/...2020/12/16/fcc-ruling-tv?referrer=NLSnapshot


Random Agricultural Facts – Tractor Pull History


I’m not sure about you, but when I was a kid, the tractor pulling event at the state or county fair was always a favorite attraction.  It was interesting, but not surprising, to read this week that the first tractor pull-sleds became outdated fairly quickly as tractor horsepower modifications were easily able to out-perform the sled since the sled was a fixed constant weight.  It brings to question, what were the first modifications to the sled (before the self-adjusting weight altering sleds)? 

It was people weight.  Yes!  People actually jumped on the sled in a progressive fashion as the tractor and sled moved down the track.  At many events, the people were also the paying spectators!  Obviously, liability and safety concerns let to the invention of the automated weight exchanging sled.  It was the late 1960’s when the weight exchange sled was first invented and implemented at such events.  If you were a spectator or even maybe had a family member as a participant in some of these events back in the early 1960’s, I’d love to hear your experiences!

 https://livinghistoryfarm.org/farminginthe50s/machines_09.html




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