Tuesday, November 3, 2020

November 2, 2020 Edition


 “Nah, why go for it when you’re up by 30?  I already did enough damage… I can get one any time I want.  That’s not why I play!” – Larry “Legend” Bird on a night when he only needed one additional steal on the stat sheet to complete a quadruple double

 

Yep, Larry Bird tortured the opponents again on this evening of NBA history in February of 1985, by recording some impressive numbers in only 33 minutes of playing time – 30 points, 12 rebounds, 10 assists and 9 steals – while sitting out the entire 4th quarter in a lopsided Boston Celtic road win (110-94) in Utah.  If he would have gotten that one additional steal, it would have been only the second recorded quadruple double in NBA league history at the time and first with the categories of points, rebounds, assists, and steals (Nate Thurmond had the first in 1974 with points, rebounds, assists, and blocked shots).

https://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/198502180UTA.html

https://www.deseret.com/sports/2020/4/14/21203164/larry-bird-boston-celtics-record-quadruple-double-nba-utah-jazz

Why do you enjoy the business of farming?  What motivates you to wake-up every day, and lace-up the old work boots?  There are many ways to look at improving our businesses and also many ways to find the personal motivation to bring the farm to greater levels of success.  Whatever your plan may entail, the Pioneer strategy around strategic large farms, is to help you succeed with your ideas moving forward.  Myself and the resources around us at Pioneer can help you achieve the goals you set for your business.  All it takes is some confidence to confide in our team beyond the bag of seed.


Weather and Corn Development

Well, well, well, it looks like we will have one final burst of perfect autumn weather before much cooler to cold temperatures return for the far northern plains over the weekend and into next week.  Even with the nice weather we will only garner about 30-35 GDD’s this week (it is early November).  These 30 heat units or so should dry the grain about 1.5 points over the next five days.  Parts of western N. Dakota are forecasted for 8-12” of snow beginning this Saturday morning.  Hopefully, most farm operations can finish-up any remaining harvest and field work ambitions this week.

I’ll count on your weather app for the best guidance through the 7-8 day forecast, but looking beyond that, I’ve found this site from NOAA to be fairly reliable for a general 8-14 day outlook (next week).  https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

For the second week in November, the forecast is to have significantly greater chances of below average temperatures and equal chances on the precipitation.

The NOAA group also provides three month outlooks.  If we would like to get a general forecast for the upcoming three months of winter (Dec-Jan-Feb), it can be seen here:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=2

This forecast currently predicts below average temperatures for our region, while also calling for above average chances on the precipitation outlook.  Hopefully, we’ll get plenty of sunshine to keep us in good spirits!


Regional Soil Temperatures

Soil temps continue to read in the mid to low 30F range across our region.  With the 50-60F air temperatures forecasted currently, I’m sure we’ll find a flurry of field work activities.  The current NDAWN (ND Ag Weather Network) map still looks positive for soil temps as only the Devils Lake region continues to show soil temps in the 30-32F range.  The one NDAWN location near Lake of Woods (Williams, MN) also reports a 32F soil temp reading.



US Crop Progress

The USDA estimates corn harvest at 82% of the way completed for the year across the US, and the soybean harvest at 87% completed across the nation as well (last week 72% and 83% respectively).  For North Dakota, these numbers are 84% for corn (48% for the 5-year average in the state) and 100% for soybeans (85% for the 5-year average).

https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/8336h188j?locale=en

The National Sunflower Association (NSA) estimated the nation’s sunflower harvest progress at 64% complete which is about 10% ahead of the 5-year average.  North Dakota is at 69% harvested and Minnesota is basically wrapped-up with its sunflowers with a report at 97% harvested.  South Dakota is the lagging state at only 50% of the sunflower harvest complete. 

This will complete our tracking of the US Crop Progress Reports for the 2020 growing season.


Dicamba – EPA Ruling

As you all know, last week the EPA granted approval for dicamba formulations to be utilized in RR2Xtend® soybeans.  This EPA ruling puts in place the framework for the individual states to begin registering the specified products.  The dicamba products related to this announcement are XtendiMax™ (Bayer®), Enginia™ (BASF®), and Tavium™ (Syngenta®).  Corteva’s® Fexepan™ will follow Bayer’s® lead with XtendiMax™ since both herbicides are identical and Bayer® was the initial registrant.  Tavium™ is an in-the-jug mix of dicamba and s-metolachlor (Dual II Magnum™).

A couple of additional label restrictions were implemented at the federal level:

·             A nation-wide cut-off date in soybeans of June 30 (July 30 for cotton)

·             Required addition of “pH buffering adjuvant” or VRA (volatility reduction agent)

·             Increased width of buffer zones where endangered species exist

BASF® is already looking to fill the need of a pH buffering adjuvant with the launch of Sentris™ Buffering Technology.  BASF® is also looking to bring a new dicamba mix into the market – Enginia Prime® (no label yet, but awaiting EPA approval).  Enginia Prime® will be an in-the-jug mix of dicamba, pyroxasulfone (Zidua™), and imazethapyr (Pursuit™) – we’ll see what the crop rotation restrictions may entail for our region.

https://agriculture.basf.us/content/dam/cxm/agriculture/crop-prot...

https://www.cottonfarming.com/breakingnews/basf-updates...  


China Has Ramped-up Phase I Purchasing

Well, there is finally some additional good news coming to light regarding the China-US trade pact in relation to Phase I targets.  And, with the continual climb of the markets, it should come as no surprise that China has dramatically ramped-up their buying over the past couple months to try and fulfill the agreement.

One comment in this report (link below) is that China is addressing a “multitude of structural barriers” within their country to handle more exports of US ag-commodities and food products.  These structural barriers primarily entail tariffs or flat-out bans of US produced goods.  Some of these restrictions that are now lifted include: the ban of US poultry, ban on beef over 30 months of age, and limitations on pet food.  These policy updates will continue to benefit US exports for the foreseeable future.  To date, this report claims that 50 of the 57 technical commitments outlined for less Chinese regulations towards the US have been implemented.

I’ll include the corn and soybean US sales into China (see charts) for the calendar year through the first week of October to note the Chinese buying trend over the past couple months.  As of early October, China is at 71% of it’s Phase I target with three months to go.  Additional charts are available for sorghum, beef, pork, etc. at the following link (it’s full of insight):

https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/assets/files/interim-report-on-ag... https://farmpolicynews.illinois.edu/2020/10/china-has-purchased-71%...





EPA Celebrates 50 Years – New Vision

The golden anniversary for the EPA has the agency looking forward, and finding ways to work with the agriculture sector in the best interest of all Americans for decades to come.  The EPA administrative leader, Andrew Wheeler, outlines several methods the agency should currently adapt:

·             Address environmental burdens that communities face by working more cohesively as an EPA team – re-organizing regional offices, implementing a leaner management team, and making public thousands of guidance documents in a database

·             Decreasing regulations and advancing innovation with both GMOs and new pesticides

·             Safeguard pollinators to support all aspects of the ag industry

·             Streamlining permits for from a federal standpoint (more state authority)

The vision portrayed by Mr. Wheeler coincides nicely with most key businesses in the ag-sector.  The outline portrayed by the EPA should give clarity to everyone to create an even playing field, and meet an expectation that the EPA’s goal is to service all aspects of the American public.  Now, the big task for Mr. Wheeler will be to get his vision implemented.  I for one, wish him good luck!

http://news.agropages.com/News/NewsDetail---36496.htm


Product Spotlight –  P7861AM


There is a myriad of factors that go into a successful corn crop for the farm, and I’d love to know the 3-4 factors that you would rank at the top of the list.  If your farm has drought tolerance, late season standability and Goss’s Wilt as key production factors, and you have a thirst for a 78 RM hybrid, then I would highly recommend Pioneer’s P7861AM to be a part of the corn acre mix in 2021. 

The P7861AM has portrayed good early season stand establishment even though this hybrid only rates at a “4” for stress emergence (SE) (scale of 1-9 with 9 being best).  With our in-house PST (Pioneer Stress Test) protocols for hybrid corn seed cold germination evaluation, the SE trait gets highly scrutinized as the testing procedures are much harsher than even we typically endure under our natural cool and wet spring conditions.

The 2020 season was the first season our Pioneer customers were able to see this hybrid across whole fields from NW Minnesota to western N. Dakota.  With this large swath of information across the 2020 growing season, we did see areas of drought, areas of Goss’s Wilt, areas of tough spring emergence concerns and even some late season stalk pressure due to the dry conditions.  This P7861AM seemed to handle and perform through all the challenges.  Please stay in touch with your Pioneer sales agent for more insight on local performance data from your geography.


FBN® Makes Strategic Move into the Seed Market

It wasn’t my intention to write about FBN® two weeks in a row, but FBN® continues to make headlines.  Last week, they announced their Canadian unit has made a purchase of the canola breeding program from Cibus.  Farmers in the canola sector will recognize the name Cibus as they have been a minor player with their non-GMO SU (sulfonylurea) herbicide tolerant products.  The business transaction includes Cibus’s canola breeding pipeline as well as a license to sell canola seed with Cibus’s pod shatter reduction trait when it becomes commercially available. 

In conjunction with the Cibus news, FBN® Canada also announced a second purchase – Haplotech Inc.  Haplotech is based out of Winnipeg, MB and specializes in servicing the seed breeding industry by providing insight on breeding research, technical services, and consulting.  Financial prices of the acquisitions were not announced.

The Cibus acquisition does come with some risk for FBN® as we have already witnessed numerous weed control failures with the SU technology and the germplasm is not performing from a yield perspective – in fact, it’s well below par.  The Haplotech acquisition is the key point here as it will be targeted to help FBN® more quickly improve the Cibus canola germplasm to compete in the sector.  From Cibus’s standpoint, their strength in the market is the ability to develop traits, and this sell-off of a seed genetics line should help them align more fully with their strength.

Regardless of your thoughts around FBN®, the investors seem to keep moving forward with strong financial pockets, and support of their drive to succeed in the ag-market.

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/.../FBN-Canada-Acquire...

https://haplotech.com/


Random Agricultural Facts – DST

We all know that Daylight Saving Time (DST) started in the WWI era as a method to save energy since more natural light would be available for evening work and after work activities in the summer months.  On this 103rd year of DST implementation in the USA, we will take the opportunity to review a few facts and figures related to DST:

  • Benjamin Franklin in the mid to late 1700’s was one of the first people to come up with the idea to reset clocks in the summer months to conserve energy.  However, many others are also noted with thinking of the concept as well
  • Germany was the first country in the world to implement DST.  It was during the early parts of WWI (May 1916), and many European countries soon followed
  • The official date of US Congress’ implementation of DST occurred on March 9, 1918
  • Today, only 40% of the world’s countries observe DST.  For countries closer to the equator, daily sunlight hours are more consistent throughout the calendar year and thus any perceived benefit is not recognized
  • Daylight Saving Time will resume on the second Sunday in March next spring
  • Recent alterations (2007 to present) regarding “fall back” in the USA have delayed implementation until the first Sunday in November.  My theory is this is the first weekend after Halloween and thus gives the children additional daylight for safer evening festivities
  • One logical reason not to implement permanent DST year-round is for local school districts in northern regions to have natural daylight during transportation of children to and from school in the winter – for greater safety implementation
  • Due to lax laws around DST implementation, at one point St. Paul and Minneapolis were on different times due to local acceptance of DST
  • Regardless of the time system, there are currently only about 9 hours 54 min of daylight in a 24-hour period in Grand Forks, ND
  • Between now and Winter Solstice, we will lose another 1 hour 31 minutes of daylight. 
  • The shortest day of the year for Grand Forks, ND will result in only 8 hours and 23 minutes of daylight.  Which is much better than Fairbanks, AK at 3 hours and 41 minutes!

 

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/news/2018/03/daylight-savings-time-arizona-florida-spring-forward-science/

https://www.livescience.com/56048-daylight-saving-time-guide.html

https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/grand-forks?month=12&year=2019

 https://www.explorefairbanks.com/blog/post/winter-solstice-fairbanks...




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