Saturday, February 27, 2021

March 1, 2021 Edition

 


53 points on 83% FG shooting, 32 rebounds, 14 assists, 11 steals, and 24 block shots

Officially, there has never been a quintuple double achieved in the NBA nor ABA.  Heck, it’s even been over 25 years since the last quadruple double was recorded (David Robinson – February 1994) and there has only been five such occurrences of a quadruple double in all of NBA history (none in the ABA) – Nate Thurmond (October ’74), Alvin Robertson (February ’86), Hakeem Olajuwon (twice in March of 1990), and then Robinson’s in ‘94.  The official statistics collected on steals and blocked shots did not begin to occur in the NBA until the 1973-’74 season.  The ABA started their league in the autumn of 1967 and always did have the two stat categories in their official bookkeeping.

However, during the 1960’s and early 70’s in the NBA, it was common during games for the play-by-play announcer or newspaper journalist in attendance to keep a running tally of blocked shots and steals to help describe the game.  At the time, the official game scorer or statistician kept record only on the traditional categories: points, rebounds, assists, personal fouls, shot attempts (with makes) and playing time.  Since it was the era of the big dominating centers like Bill Russel, Wilt Chamberlain, Walt Bellamy, Nate Thurmond, and even the early days of Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, blocked shots began to obtain significant air time with the play-by-play announcers (and/or writers) as they used it to help differentiate the big man play.  The significant All-Star backcourt players at the time of Oscar Robertson, Rick Berry, Jerry West, Sam Jones, and Elgin Baylor created a significant amount of opposing player turnovers and thus announcers/writers found the category of steals valuable to help communicate the talent and impactful influence of the smaller players on the court.

This brings us to March 18, 1968 and a Philadelphia 76ers 158 to 128 win over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Officially, Wilt Chamberlain’s performance in leading his team to a fairly easy win at home was recorded as 53 points on (24 of 29 field goals – 82.8%), 32 rebounds, and 14 assists for a monster triple double on 48 minutes (full game) of playing time.  Unofficially, Wilt is said to also have collected 11 steals and 24 blocked shots in this same game.  Add it all together and it’s a quintuple double!  And, most would agree that it is one insane single game performance.

https://fadeawayworld.net/2020/04/01/wilt-chamberlain-reportedly... https://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/196803180PHI.html

It would be very interesting to witness how Wilt Chamberlain would be perceived throughout history if steals and blocked shots were recorded during his entire playing career (probably even more valuable would have been video footage of his games – it is estimated that only 1-2% of Wilt’s performances have video).  Mr. Chamberlain holds numerous single game, single season, and career statistical records, including the most points in a single game (100), most rebounds in a single game (55), and never fouling-out of a contest in his career.  After he was criticized in the press for being too one-dimensional in the summer of ‘67, Wilt responded with his play on the court.  He concluded the 1967-68 season by winning his third straight and final league MVP award (4th total) with tops in FG% (60%), total assists (702), rebounds (23.8/game), and playing time (46.8 min/game)!

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/chambwi01.html

What type of statistics do you keep track of in your farm business?  The ag-professionals say we should track at minimum our cost of production per bushel (or 100 weight or ton) in each crop, input costs per acre, field by field profitability, and if we’re doing some variable rate applications, a zone cost analysis versus a whole field or lump sum acre analysis.  The financial partners will desire evaluating more dynamic stats like working capital, debt to asset ratio, return on assets, liquidity ratio, etc.  Every farm manager will see more value in certain financial numbers over others.  At the end of the day, the important thing is the consistent work being done to keep all the business stakeholders informed so the ship stays pointed in the right direction.  Good luck!


Regional Weather

It should be a week of melting and thawing conditions as most days are forecasted for high temps in the 40’s.  Combine those temperatures with the relatively light snow pack, and we should see very minimal snow in the fields after the first week in March.  These conditions create very “lamb” like conditions for the first part of March.  We’ll see if the lion rears its ugly head at the end of the month!

I’ll count on your weather app for the best guidance through the 7-8 day forecast, but looking beyond that, I’ve found this site from National Oceanic Atmospheric Association (NOAA) to be fairly reliable for a general 8-14 day outlook (next week). 

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

For the second full week of March, the forecast is to have greater potential for above average temperatures.  Regarding the precipitation chances, they are split as we go from east to west in our region - above average chances to the east and below average chances to the west.

The NOAA organization also provides three month outlooks.  If we would like to get a general forecast for the latter half of the upcoming spring season (April-May-June), it can be seen here:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=2

This forecast currently predicts above average chances on the temperature potential, along with equal chances for precipitation in our region.  Overall, if that holds true, we would welcome the developments and hope to see a drift towards enhanced chances of precipitation for the crops.


Can Farms Fail in Good Times?

There is always risk of failure.  Even though market prices are much stronger currently then we have seen in the past several years, there is still work remaining to build back additional equity into our businesses.  Farm Progress had a good article reminding farm managers to stay diligent at working on the business to faster achieve your goals.  A few good reminders:

·         Borrow and invest in things that have a strong return on investment.  If you have an expensive hobby – you should play in that space with disposable cash

·         Continue to prioritize and implement your marketing plan or strategy – these actions should have even greater rewards with profitable commodity markets

·         Communication remains key.  Work to keep all business partners on the same page and the communication open.  Nothing breaks down a business more quickly than lack of communication which quickly and easily moves to a lack of trust

·         Continue to have a reasonable, realistic, and budgeted family living expense

·         Avoid spending large sums of money to completely avoid taxes.  Remember the old saying, “nobody goes broke paying taxes”

·         Continue focusing on building a strong farm business team – employees, business partners, family, outside business relationships, etc.

https://www.farmprogress.com/commentary/why-farms-fail-even-good-times?...


Farm Inheritance and Estate Planning


It’s difficult to expand on this topic much as each farm operation is different in how they are planning on passing down the farm business to the next generation.  However, I thought it was interesting to note that discussions are occurring at the federal level in basis point calculations.  Stay in touch with your financial planner and/or tax accountant on how things are developing on this topic.  Finding avenues through local connections on how you can potentially have your voice heard among the federal law makers is also a worthy investment of time.

https://www.farmprogress.com/commentary/step-basis-rules-are-changes-coming?utm_source=Bibblio&utm_campaign=Related


Spring Wheat Herbicide Options from Corteva®

For those of you with TruChoice™ dollars committed – thank you.  I know many of you are on the ball and already have a plan placed together on where specifically you will spend those dollars.  Others maybe shooting from the hip, so let’s review a couple simple, cost-effective, and solid weed killing solutions in the spring wheat crop for our TruChoice™ commitment.

WideARmatch™ – This pre-mix of Arylex™ active (halauxifen-methyl), Stinger™ (copyralid), and Starane™ (fluroxypyr), should be a big hit for growers in our region to provide some strong broadleaf control as well as keep us open for crop rotation flexibility.  WideARmatch™ tank-mixed with 2.4-D will control all of our tough broadleaf weeds including – waterhemp, common lambsquarter, ragweed, and kochia.  WideARmatch™ alone can be applied from 2-leaf to flag leaf emerged, but the 2.4-D will restrict application from full tiller to before jointing.  If grass weed (wild oat and/or green/yellow foxtail) control is desired, tank-mix with Puma® or Axial®.

Pixxaro™ EC – If you are a little leery of Stinger carryover into the following year’s crop of soybeans or dry beans under drier conditions, you could move to Pixxaro™ EC.  Pixxaro™ EC is a premix of Arylex™ active and Starane®.

Bayer® is bringing out Huskie® FX which adds Starane® to their mix.  However, be a little concerned as they are only adding a 2.9 oz/ac rate of Starane® in their Huskie® FX jug while Corteva® brings a 5.0 to 5.1 oz/ac rate of Starane® in Pixxaro® EC and WideARmatch® respectively.


Product Spotlight: DroneDeploy’s Stand Assessment Software

DroneDeploy continues their march ahead to maintain a leading edge as one of the world’s top software companies for generating impactful data with drones or UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles).  Agriculture is a significant part of DroneDeploy’s business, and thus they have recently announced bringing capabilities to farms globally for assessing early crop stands (or plant establishment).  The announced collaboration with Corteva Agriscience (developers of the Artificial Intelligence software for crop establishment) will bring whole field stand assessments to farm managers, consultants and other partners who see value in accurately assessing whole fields for early performance of a crop and the corresponding genetics.

Corteva has one of the world’s largest agricultural UAV fleets with over 600 drones and is a very significant annual contributor to DroneDeploy’s agricultural mapping volume (55 mil acres mapped in 2020 for DroneDeploy).  If you should have concerns next spring with your stand establishment and contemplating replant, please reach-out to discuss and we’ll make time to fly our drone(s) across your fields.  If you have a drone and are looking for software to help make more impactful use out of it across the farm, please visit the DroneDeploy website below.

https://www.dronedeploy.com/solutions/agriculture/ http://news.agropages.com/News/NewsDetail---38050.htm



China Continues with Strong Corn Import Volumes

China’s demand for corn remains robust as the country is trying to rebuild its grain stock reserves amid high domestic prices and growth in animal feed consumption.  S&P Global Platts Analytics estimates China to have a 30 mil MT (1.18 bil bu) “structural deficit” for corn in the current marketing year due to their high demand.  In the 2019-20 marketing year, China only imported 7.6 mil MT of US corn and it is forecasted that the current marketing year will see a 3 to 4-fold increase.

https://www.spglobal.com/...chinas-buying-to-keep-us-corn-prices...



Glufosinate Resistance Confirmed

We knew it would happen sooner or later, and now it’s here – glufosinate (Liberty™) weed resistance in a major US broadacre weed species.  It comes as no surprise that Palmer Amaranth is the villain.

University of Arkansas Extension weed scientists have confirmed glufosinate resistance in a couple different Palmer amaranth populations in the northeast part of the state.  With glyphosate resistance first confirmed about a dozen years ago in the area, many farm producers have shifted to an over-reliance on glufosinate to control P. amaranath.  Last summer, dicamba resistant P. amaranth was confirmed just to the west of Arkansas in the neighboring state of Tennessee.

Weed scientists in the delta region realize the consistent battle they are involved in to effectively control weeds such as Palmer amaranth and waterhemp.  Long-term intensive integrated management practices are being coached to area farm managers to help extend the herbicide resource.  Outside the box tactics entail everything from cover crops to hand-weeding to harvest weed seed control.  These management tactics are being employed to minimize the genetic selection pressure on herbicides and to keep the weeds sensitive to remaining control strategies.

Our more diverse crop rotations in the far northern regions of the US do help us naturally fight the weed resistance battle, but I’m sure we will see our battles become more intense as weeds continue to evolve under only herbicide pressure.  If you would like to evaluate some IWM tactics this coming summer in your overall weed management program, please contact me for a brainstorming discussion.  Being proactive today will place your farm in a good spot for the future.

https://www.dtnpf.com/...2021/02/17/glufosinate-resistant-palmer


Enlist™ Training


For those farms with only Enlist™ soybean acres, you do not have any additional mandatory pesticide training for the winter.  However, if you have liked the timely reminders on the key aspects of pesticide application, and/or see the need for some added training for your new and returning employees, here is a comprehensive online site for enhanced Enlist™ training:

https://enlist360training.bader-rutter.com/#/


Product Spotlight (2): P8431AM


The next product in our series of new Pioneer corn genetics for the spring is P8431AM.  It’s medium to tall for plant height at 84 RM (relative maturity) with above average trait characteristics for brittle-snap tolerance and Goss’s Wilt.

For a quick review, Pioneer rates their products on a 1-9 scale with 9 being the best/strongest/tallest.  Average characteristic performance scores are rated with 4’s and 5’s; below average is 3, and above average strength would rate 6 to 7.  It is fairly rare to see an advanced product with a score of 8, but it does happen.  Most all products that would rate below a 3 on any given single agronomic score would not make it through the process to become a commercially available product.

Overall, P8431AM’s strength will be yield for maturity as it is competing very well against other hybrids in the industry for the mid-80 RM zone.  We may see a bit of late season standability issues with a root score of “4”, but late season root lodging typically only occurs when conditions are very wet in mid-August and later (every hybrid has a weakness somewhere).  Most of the other traits for this particular hybrid rate adequate/acceptable, so it’ll be interesting to see how this hybrid performs across the variable conditions in the 2021 growing season.

We’ll have a few units of P8431AM available this spring, so please reach-out to myself and/or your local Pioneer agent if you would like to see the hybrid on your farm this spring.


Random Agricultural Facts – Fertilizer History

The FarmDoc Daily out of the University of Illinois recently had an interesting article on the history of synthetic nitrogen in the USA.  Lewis B. Nelson also authored a book in 1990 on the topic.  I don’t have a link or copy of Nelson’s book, but here is FarmDoc’s article:

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/02/synthetic-nitrogen-fertilizer...

The first agriculture sales of commercial fertilizer in the US occurred around 1840 and these specific sales lasted for approximately 30 years.  Any guesses to the product? …Have you ever heard (or remember) the term, guano?  Guano is basically bird manure and the primary deposits of guano harvested for fertilizer supply across the world at the time came from the west coast of South America in Peru and Chile.  However, the guano was a finite supply and transporting it in large volumes was a continuous challenge both logistically and with concerns to human health (anyone who has ever shoveled-out a chicken coop would know the hazard!).  Other early sources of commercial fertilizer used globally included bones, fish scraps, slaughterhouse waste, wood ashes, sodium nitrate, ammonium sulfate from coal gas plants, cottonseed meal, livestock manure, and poudrette (human waste).  These various sources supplied the growing need for nitrogen fertilizer through the early 1900’s. 

In the late 19th century, it was confirmed knowledge that the earth’s atmospheric air was largely in the concentration of nitrogen at about 78% concentration.  Also, with the very stagnant crop yields of the time, it was forecasted/speculated that the world’s food production would not be able to adequately meet the demand of the growing human global population at some point in the next century.  Therefore, some leading chemists of the day in Europe were challenged to find a way to create a nitrogen field crop fertility product by harnessing the earth’s atmospheric nitrogen. 

By 1913, two BASF chemists had standardized the process to create anhydrous ammonia with 82% nitrogen content.  The Haber-Bosch process, named after Fritz Haber and Carl Bosch, utilizes extremely high pressure and temperature with a metal catalyst to create the ammonia.  After cold water is used to condense the gaseous solution, the final product is obtained as a liquid under high pressure for transportation.  Once the liquid formulation losses it’s pressurized state during application, it immediately reverts to a gaseous product and therefore the term “ammonia gas” has been commonly used by farmers.  Since the NH3 or ammonia gas is highly attracted to water, soil moisture receives the NH3 molecule and eventually the molecule transforms slightly to become a plant available nitrogen source for uptake as an essential macro-nutrient.

Today, the US is 4th in the world in terms of producing nitrogen fertilizer from the process.  Basically, all you need to produce the product is a cheap energy source to create the temperature and pressures needed to transform volumes of atmospheric air.  Other sources of nitrogen fertilizer like urea (dry solid formulation at 46% nitrogen), ammonium sulfate or AMS (dry solid formulation with 21% N and 26% sulfur), and UAN liquid solutions (28% or 32% N concentrations), are all created with anhydrous ammonia as the base ingredient (see chart). 

Most ammonia production comes from areas with cheap and abundant natural gas available for an energy source – for the US, it’s the region of Louisiana, Texas, and Oklahoma.  I would think with all the flaring of natural gas in western North Dakota, there should be some local opportunities for nitrogen fertilizer production.  Maybe someday…







Monday, February 15, 2021

Feb. 15th, 2021 Edition


“... you know what’s wrong with this team?  We don’t have any team play.  We don’t care about each other.  Let me give you an example.  Tonight, I had 48 points with two minutes to go.  Did anybody pass me the ball so I could get 50?  Huh?  No, they just kept the ball to themselves and I got stuck at 48.  Stuff like that; that’s what’s wrong with these guys.” – Marvin Barnes, St. Louis Spirits of the ABA

 

Although you and I chuckle, once you hear some of the stories about Mr. Barnes there isn’t any question to the sincerity of this quote – he was dead serious!  The American Basketball Association (ABA) was known to have some eccentric characters in its day and Marvin Barnes was definitely one of those folks.  Barnes was quite the talent as he was the ABA’s Rookie of the Year recipient for the 1974-75 season with averages of 24.0 points and 15.6 rebounds per game.  Marvin also was an ABA All-Star for his first two years in the league.  After the 1975-76 season, the ABA merged with the NBA and Marvin’s theatrics couldn’t find a consistent home let alone consistent playing time.  Unfortunately, the St. Louis Spirits continually strove to have Mr. Barnes’s immense talent be the face of the franchise, but with his awful selfish behavior they were never able to develop the culture of a winning tradition for the business.  Marvin’s poor choices both on and off the court led to immense frustration by everyone around him – teammates, coaches, front office personnel, and I’m sure even his close family and agents.  When the ABA merged with the NBA, the St. Louis franchise did not survive, and the city has not seen professional basketball since.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/barnema01.html

If you’re looking for a good winter time read, and are interested in a little entertainment as well as a historical perspective on the business of professional basketball from the late 1960’s to the mid 70’s, “Loose Balls” by Terry Pluto will not disappoint.  https://www.amazon.com/Loose-Balls-American-Basketball-Association/dp/141654061X

The business world today is similar to the game of basketball where it takes team play and a willingness to include others to experience success.  If we expand on this thought for our significant farm businesses in the region, we understand that farm operations with a strong employee team and a willingness to partner with other key businesses in the local area seem to more easily develop success.  I’ve even seen smaller farms – with only 2-3 people involved in the whole business – conduct a very profitable enterprise with a commitment to good communication internally as well as with others who they rely upon to help their farm succeed.

At the end of the day, the better team any business is able to build within and around them, the better success everyone will enjoy.  You may see some short-term value in negotiating for that last nickel or dime on the cost of a farm input item or an employee’s salary, but if the value is there and the business or individual is providing a quality product, service, and /or labor in return, those extra dollars are fairly inexpensive and the money should be viewed as well spent.

 


Regional Weather

Well, that was probably the coldest weekend my family has spent in Grand Forks in our 10 years of being residents.  I’m sure we are all looking for the above zero temperatures later this coming week.  Hopefully, we’ll start a slow warm-up from here and looking at spring conditions in the not too distant future.

I’ll count on your weather app for the best guidance through the 7-8 day forecast, but looking beyond that, I’ve found this site from National Oceanic Atmospheric Association (NOAA) to be fairly reliable for a general 8-14 day outlook (next week). 

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

For the last full week of February, the forecast is to have greater chances of above average temperatures, as well as above average (west) to equal chances (east) on the precipitation front for our region.

The NOAA organization also provides three month outlooks.  If we would like to get a general forecast for next season’s harvest run (Sept-Oct-Nov), it can be seen here:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=8

This forecast currently predicts above average to equal chances on the temperature potential, along with equal chances for precipitation in our region.  Overall, if that holds true, we would welcome the developments and hope to accomplish significant additional tasks besides just the harvest.



Dicamba Formulations for 2021 RR2Xtend® Soybeans

I  had a few questions after last week’s newsletter regarding Fexepan™ from Corteva® as an approved dicamba formulation for use in dicamba tolerant soybean production.  In a nutshell, Corteva® is anticipating renewal registration being granted by the EPA any day now for the 2021 season and beyond.  Corteva® has an agreement with Bayer® to market the formulation (Fexepan™ has the exact same components as Bayer’s® Extendimax™) and therefore Corteva® is obligated to follow Bayer’s® lead regarding the registration of the product.  Extendimax™ obviously received federal approval back in October, and that triggered the Corteva® team to begin the process for Fexepan™.  All the paperwork has been submitted to the EPA from Corteva® regarding Fexepan™, and it should be an easy approval for the EPA to make, but for some reason it is taking longer than anticipated – probably typical under a change of executive branch which the EPA reports directly through. 

With Xtend® acres forecasted to be down this year in the US, there should be plenty of dicamba product available this summer – regardless of the EPA delay regarding Fexepan™.  I will keep you posted on any further developments when they do occur. 



Planter Maintenance

It’s that time of year where the planters are going through the shop for their yearly maintenance.  Precision Planting placed together a very thorough website on the topic and has included several short videos (all under 5 min; many under 2-3 min) on the key items for monitoring to insure the planter will be performing at top-notch come this spring.

Some key items for winter maintenance and in the field adjustments:

·         Parallel arm bushings – make sure the row unit does not have too much play from right to left or up and down in a resting position.  Replace the bushings on one row unit and then compare other rows to the newly rebuilt unit if you are unsure

·         Seed tubes – worn seed tubes can affect kernel spacing.  Often the seed tube becomes damaged (tip and sides of the tube) due to worn disc openers and/or worn seed tube guards.

·         Seed tube guard – should be at minimum 3/4” wide to start the season.  New guards are approximately 15/16” wide

·         Disc openers – Always check the maintenance guide for the specific model, but most discs are 15” in diameter new and should be replaced at 14.5” in diameter.  Disc shims should be utilized to have a consistent 1.5-2” of contact at the point of furrow creation

·         Meter calibration – seals and brushes are common wear items inside the meter along with worn seed plates that can cause inconsistent seed spacing.  Research on inconsistent plant spacing has shown significant yield reductions.  Individual meter calibration should be performed yearly to ensure a consistent seed drop performance from row to row across the planter

·         Planter bar height – in the field, most planter models will need to be set around 20-22” height (bottom of bar to the soil surface).  Parallel arm bushings should run parallel or horizontal in relation to the planter bar and row units

·         Downforce setting – there are risks of too much (extra soil compaction) and too little down force (dry soil crumbles back into the trench creating poor seed to soil contact, shallow seed placement, and/or inconsistent soil moisture for germination).

https://www.precisionplanting.com/agronomy/research/your-planter-maintenance-guide



EPA and Amazon.com

The EPA office in Seattle has issued a “stop sale” order to Amazon.com for many illegal pesticides they have been marketing.  The most common ways that a pesticide can lose its EPA approval status is through the following avenues (vast majority of cases): 1) de-registration, 2) adulteration of the formulation after the original formulation was granted EPA approval, and/or 3) misbranding – false, unproven, or misleading claims about the product which are added to the label after approval.  Some products may become available illegally by never being submitted to the EPA for registration (actually somewhat common).

Many of the products outlined in the “stop sale” order are disinfectants or antibacterial formulations with mis-branding claims around “CoronaVirus protection”, “Safe for Kids”, “Safe for family and pets”, “Kills 99.9% of harmful bacteria”, etc.  Other products on the list lack an EPA registration number.

A few of the products on the list are insecticides for mosquitoes, spiders, ants, and other bugs, plus a few are rodenticides for mice and rats. 

I don’t think Amazon is yet in the business of selling broadacre agricultural pesticides, but this is a good reminder for the safety of our employee teams and family (plus pets) to buy these types of products from reputable businesses with recognizable brand names.  The tad bit extra the established brands may charge for their product is easily justifiable for extra assurance and safety.  When it comes to on-line purchases for agricultural pesticides, it’s probably worth your time to ask for labels of considered products and cross-reference with the EPA.  This should help insure that products have been EPA tested and thus should perform as intended.

https://www.epa.gov/enforcement/ssuro-amazoncom...june-10-2020 http://news.agropages.com/News/NewsDetail---38040.htm



Product Spotlight: The Weed Zapper!

Last summer I heard a bit about machines in local fields using electricity to kill weeds – primarily in sugarbeet and dry edible bean fields.  “The Weed Zapper” is a USA based company investing in the technology. 

It’s a two part implement with the electric generator on a trailer hitch for towing behind the tractor (I assume runs off PTO), along with a front mounted boom for easy sight and maneuverability.  Supposedly, the generator provides up to a 15,000-volt experience for killing targeted plants.

Successful Farming had an article on the efficacy of the device based on some preliminary research from the University of Missouri.  Their findings report the pros and cons:

·         Research and observations were on soybeans with waterhemp as the primary targeted weed species

·         Electrocution was instantaneous to every plant the boom made contact with.  It was rare, but there was unintended contact with the crop and yields were reduced (10-15% depending on the growth stage of the crop when the kill occurred).  I would assume some yield loss was due to the addition of late season wheel traffic as well

·         Taller weeds that portrayed above the canopy were more susceptible – especially if they had some good leaf area for the electric boom to contact.  Generally speaking, broadleaf weeds were more susceptible than grass weeds

·         Smaller weeds at the time of initial application were not controlled – a second pass would typically be warranted

·         Not all crop competition would be eliminated as applications would be made mid to late season to provide time for weeds to gain height

·         Operator safety was a concern.

Overall, The Weed Zapper isn’t going to be a first line defense against resistant weed populations, but used in combination with a strong herbicide program, it should help significantly reduce weed seedbank populations.

https://theweedzapper.com/ https://www.agriculture.com/crops/soybeans/the-mizzou-weeds...



Product Spotlight (2): P7844AM


Well, I thought I would try to delay until closer to planting the introduction of our key new Pioneer products for the season, but I may run out of time between now and then, so let’s get started.  Pioneer’s earliest corn hybrid advancement for the upcoming season in our region will be P7844AM.  It’s a 78 RM (relative maturity) product with above average trait characteristics for good late season standability. 

For a quick review, Pioneer rates their products on a 1-9 scale with 9 being the best/strongest/tallest.  Average characteristic performance scores are typically 4’s and 5’s; below average is 3, and above average strength would rate 6 to 7.  It is fairly rare to see a commercially advanced product with a score of 8, but it does happen.  Most all products that would rate below a 3 on any given single agronomic score would not make it through the process to become a commercially available, but those numerical scores are utilized in our research program.

All of the other traits for this particular hybrid rate adequate/acceptable, so it’ll be interesting to see how this hybrid performs for the summer against P7861AM, P7632AM, and P7527AM.  Our internal data says that it should easily out-compete those established benchmark products, but that data only comes from our IMPACT testing system which covers two years and numerous small replicated plots.  The IMPACT system is great for testing and advancing products as the system builds confident statistical data sets, but us field agronomists like to see a product across several acres and through some more widely variable conditions – sandy soil types (added drought and fertility stress), high pH soils, heavy clay soils (stress emergence), water logged conditions, etc. to get a true feel for the genetic yield and performance potential.  We’ll have a few units of this hybrid available this spring, so please reach-out to myself and/or your local Pioneer agent if you would like to see some P7844AM on your farm this spring.



China’s Pork Production

Since the vast majority of China’s imported soybeans are processed for animal feed, the topic is important to review.  Therefore, let’s take a dive into the numbers we are hearing regarding China’s hog production recovery from African Swine Fever (ASF). 

As I’m sure you are well aware, ASF had an outbreak in China a couple years ago (summer of 2018) that caused a quick reduction and culling in their domestic pig herds (40-50% plus by most estimates).    If you do a quick internet search today on the topic, you’ll find many articles talking about a quick recovery.  Here’s one such article stating, “as of Nov. 30, 2020, China’s swine herd recovery was seen at 90% of the pre-ASF levels”.  https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/...

Well, if you dive into some of the Chinese numbers, you begin to question how strong their swine herd rebuilding actually is.  First, pork inputs into China compared to the historic past are still at record volumes through to the very end of 2020.  Second, China’s domestic pork prices are still about twice the long term average (see charts below).




There are some additional concerns in China as well regarding the overall status of the swine herd.  Foremost, their Ministry of Agriculture has recently highlighted concerns on their ability to gather confident domestic statistics.  Also, swine disease concerns are not fading completely away – ASF outbreaks are still occurring in some limited scope, and reports of significant foot and mouth disease are also present.  Many comments have also been shared about questioning the genetic quality of the rebuild as they have witnessed smaller litter sizes and less efficient weight gains – documented with lighter slaughter weights.

https://www.mintecglobal.com/...china...global-pork-imports-in-2021

https://www.thomaseldermarkets.com.au...why-i-dont-trust-chinese...

Mark Twain would say, “if you torture the numbers enough, they’ll confess to anything”.  In today’s world of conflicting news, I’d just prefer to say that we should keep a very open mind to the developing situation and insure that we utilize our marketing plans with sound strategy to make profitable decisions.



Random Agricultural Facts – PIGS

Speaking of pigs, it is believed that pigs were the first domesticated animal on the planet and it occurred about 6000 years ago… Any guesses to the location??  Present day China!

Pigs first came to America around 1540 with the Spanish explorer de Soto.

Over 2 billion pounds of bacon are produced for US consumption annually.  At a population of close to 340 million people, the average US person (man, woman, and child) consumes close to 6 pounds of bacon per year!  In China, the per capita pork consumption is 90 lbs per person annually (or 0.25 lbs/day/person).

Sows have a gestation period of just under 4 months (114 days).  And, while the average litter size worldwide is only 6-10 piglets, an American sow will average around 10-13 due to genetics and nutrition.  Most sows will have 3-4 liters per 2-year timeframe. 

For more facts and figures around hogs: https://realpigfarming.com/15-trivia-winning-facts-about-pigs-6ab00f2d1049





Tuesday, February 9, 2021

Feb. 8, 2021 Edition

 


“To me, there are three things everyone should do every day.  Number one is laugh.  Number two is think.  And, number three is to spend some time in thought; your thoughts should have your emotions move you to tears.  If you laugh, think and cry, that's a heck of a day.  You do that seven days a week, you're going to have something special.” – Jim Valvano, North Carolina State men’s basketball coach

It’s that time of year where we continue to have full days even with the dead of winter staring us in the face.  However, with today’s conveniences, it’s somewhat easier to prosper through most of these issues, as well as the cold winter weather spells.  In this regard, I often wonder what our ancestors of even 2-3 generations back would say if they could experience a week in our world of today.  Would they think all of today’s conveniences are good for the body, mind and soul?

Hopefully, your full days are enlightening as we continue to develop our plan for setting the stage to have a successful upcoming cropping season.  I would guess that most operations are placing the final pieces of their labor and machinery line-up into the equation and are moving onto field by field planning for crop inputs like fertilizer, hybrid/variety, and herbicide/fungicide programs. 

I’ll give a quick shout-out here to Corteva’s Granular ag-software program that can help your planning be much more precise, easy to implement, and effortlessly provide that in-season record keeping for key analysis at the end of the year.  Please reach-out to myself or your local Pioneer sales agent to learn more.  www.granular.ag


Regional Weather

You would have to travel a fair distance outside our region if you are looking to escape the sub-zero temperatures.  It’s nice that at least the sun is shining bright to provide us that optimism we are all looking for.  I did hear one older (wise?) farmer this week say that it takes a significant cold spell like we are currently experiencing during the winter to help insure our spring and summer rains occur on a somewhat relevant and consistent level.  I’m not sure of the accuracy of such a statement, but the last mild winter we had was the 2011-12 winter and we did struggle for widespread rains in the 2012 growing season.

I’ll count on your weather app for the best guidance through the 7-8 day forecast, but looking beyond that, I’ve found this site from National Oceanic Atmospheric Association (NOAA) to be fairly reliable for a general 8-14 day outlook (next week).  https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

For the third full week of February, the forecast is to have greater chances of below average temperatures, as well as below average chances on the precipitation front.

The NOAA organization also provides three month outlooks.  If we would like to get a general forecast for the upcoming summer (Jun-July-Aug), it can be seen here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/...long_range/seasonal.php?lead=5

This forecast currently predicts equal chances on both the temperature and precipitation potential for our region.  Equal chances notes that the potential is equal for either above average conditions or below average conditions to develop.  If that wise farmer is correct, we should trend to the side of a bit more precipitation than average coming our way.  Coming off our dry finish to the 2020 season and a dry autumn/early winter, it would be more than welcome!


Dicamba Regulations for 2021 Soybeans

Unfortunately, we will have more regulations during the upcoming growing season regarding spraying dicamba herbicide formulations on RR2Xtend® soybeans.  One such area of increased regulation will be regarding “endangered species” and subsequent additional buffer protections.

In the map below (see pic and reference weblink), the pink shaded areas in North Dakota and Minnesota will have these extra restrictions in play to protect federally listed, threatened, and endangered species.  Basically, in our region, the affected areas will be Polk and Clay counties of Minnesota, and for North Dakota, it’ll encompass the counties of Stutsman, McHenry, Bottineau, McLean, and Ward in the I-94 and north geographies.   For dicamba herbicide applications to be legal in these areas, both a 310-foot in field wind-directional spray drift buffer, and a 57-foot omnidirectional in-field buffer are required. 

The following areas may be included in the buffer distance composition when directly adjacent to the treated field edges: 1) Roads, paved or gravel surfaces, mowed grassy areas adjacent to field, and areas of bare ground from recent plowing or grading that are contiguous with the treated field. 2) Planted agricultural fields containing dicamba-resistant plantings of cotton and soybeans. 3) Areas covered by the footprint of a building, silo, or other man-made structure with walls and/or roof.

www.epa.gov/endangered-species/bulletins-live-two-view-bulletins

I did try to find the specific endangered species that we are targeting protection towards in these areas, but I was not successful.



Dicamba On-line Training Available

Speaking of dicamba regulations, it’s that time of year for the mandatory annual dicamba training for pesticide applicators.  Here is the site to register and conduct the on-line training:  https://training.roundupreadyxtend.com/

After reviewing the FAQ (frequently asked questions) document by the EPA regarding dicamba applications (updated in late 2020), there are several other key bits of information that all farm managers should have knowledge towards regarding dicamba applications in RR2Xtend® soybean production: 

·         On-farm labor personnel who apply or handle dicamba products for application in soybeans must be certified applicators

·         Certified applicator training is different than dicamba training.  Both trainings are required by all labor personnel involved in dicamba applications

·         Non-certified personnel may not perform any activities with dicamba products – including handling, mixing, loading,  and purchasing

·         Training will include addressing new restrictions on buffer distances and adjuvants/drift reducers.  Other established regulations will be reviewed

·         Generic dicamba formulations are not registered for use in RR2Xtend® soybeans.  Today, only XtendiMax™, Engenia™ and Tavium™ (with metolachlor from Syngenta®) are registered for use.  Generic formulations have much greater risk potential around drift and volatility.

The EPA’s FAQ: https://www.epa.gov/ingredients-used-pesticide-products/dicamba-training-requirements....


Corn Starter Fertilizer

Most corn planter set-ups in our region do have a hardware system installed for in-furrow (over the top of the seed) liquid starter fertilizer application.  A typical fertility mix will contain 10-34-0 or other source of phosphorus along with some zinc as their base starter fertilizer components in corn production. 

For a quick review, the research data supports this practice in our region.  Here are the top three reasons: 1) the corn crop has more uniform and consistent early growth, 2) concentrated amounts of fertilizer are easily accessible and more plant available in our high pH and often cold spring soils by the corn plant, and 3) achieve faster dry-down rates compared to corn trials without starter fertilizer.  Add it all up and the return on investment is positive.

https://www.ndcorn.org/corn-technically-speaking-starter-fertilizer/

This is good, but it should stimulate another question – are we getting the most out of our starter fertilizer equipment investment?  Or, more specifically what other nutrients should we be testing for a response in our corn production after Phos. and Zn? 

Well, the local Pioneer Field Agronomy teams have been collecting tissue samples in our NCGA state entry trials.  The data is presented below.  As you can see, Zn still shows up “Below Range” in over half the entries.  Boron is “Below Range” in 2/3rds of the samples and Potash (K) is “Below Range” in over 50% of the samples.  Now most tissue testing results are expressed in a percentage or parts per million (ppm) concentration.  Aluminum, copper, calcium, and magnesium also test “Below Range” at a rate of 25% or greater in this small sampling of data across the region. 


As you can see, there were two different growth stages for the tissue testing across three different hybrids and only 6 sample sites, so the data set is fairly small to start, but we’ll add on it in the future.   if you are looking for some extra ideas on your farm to drive productivity and profitability, and you can make a bit of room in your starter fertilizer mix for some additional micronutrients, I would highly consider exploring options here.  It should be fairly easy to implement – finding of a source of liquid micronutrients and conducting a test of both with and without across a few different fields this planting season.  If you’d like, please contact me or your local Pioneer sales rep and maybe we can even conduct some tissue testing this summer to aid in our findings.

https://www.ag.ndsu.edu/publications/crops/north-dakota-fertilizer-recommendation-tables-and-equations


Product Spotlight: Drone Swarms

We often always think that “bigger is better”, but when it comes to drones and agricultural uses, maybe “more is better”.  Rantizo is a US based company focused on drone/UAV (unmanned aerial vehicle) solutions for agriculture producers.  Last summer, Rantizo was granted approval by the FAA (US Federal Aviation Administration) for operating a swarm of drones with one pilot and one visual observer in all locations of the contiguous 48 US states. 


Rantizo states that they can spray between 40-60 acres per hour with their swarms, but I’m sure that target is always gaining in efficiency.  They also have a dry spreader attachment for their fleet for broadcast applications of cover crop seeds, dry fertilizer blends and even dry pesticides.

Their services include bringing a team to your farm to conduct field applications, as well as helping your farm prepare and conduct application of crop protection products with UAV’s. https://rantizo.com/

This technology will probably take some time to develop, but my guess is that efficiencies will be gained, technology simplified, and regulations reduced to where these applicator UAV’s are fairly common on the farm.  Maybe the aerial applicators will embrace the technology and aid in the shift towards more unmanned applications to lower the human risk for everyone.

https://www.croplife.com/precision/rantizo-authorized-to-swarm-multiple-drones-nationwide-by-faa/

 

Random Agricultural Facts – History of Cropland Acre Expansion

Let’s step back and take a look at the last 50-60 years of global cropland acreage expansion and the USA’s or North America’s contribution to the topic.  I wish I could have found some raw USDA data or other source(s), but I’m sure this type of data is would be very tedious to compile.  Therefore, I’ll just trust the Agriculture Economic Insights (AIE) folks for accuracy (reference below).

As we evaluate the cropping acre history, AIE just kept it at the 13 major crops – corn, soybeans, wheat, rapeseed (canola/mustard), barley, cotton, millet, oats, peanuts, sunflower, rice, rye and grain sorghum.  From 1960 to 2020, harvested acreage increased about 45% (from 1.7 bil acres to 2.4 bil acres, or 742 mil acres – chart below).  But, as you can see, the data doesn’t reveal a consistent yearly addition of acreage, but a somewhat bullish expansion during the 1960’s and 70’s and then flat-lining during the 1980’s and 90’s before accelerating again from 2002 onward. 

A couple weeks ago, we discussed the US Farm Bill culture of the 1980’s and 90’s with programs like PIK (Payment In Kind) and set-aside acres.  Those programs contributed greatly to the global leveling-off period of crop acre expansion after a just completed significant rise during the 70’s (next chart).  The North American region led the world in crop acre expansion during this time frame (1970-1980) with over 74 mil additional harvested acres of these 13 major crops coming into production.  The world seen an increase of 269 mil acres and each region of the planet contributed to the increase.  North America’s contribution calculates to about 27.5% of the global increase during this period. 


Since 2002, China’s food demand has increased sharply and the ethanol boom occurred to place enhanced value in ag-commodities to stimulate another era of acre expansion.  However, this time around, other parts of the world led the charge.  The overall acre expansion was similar in size to the 1970’s with approximately 279 mil acres (versus 269 mil ac) increase in overall harvested acres.  North America accounted for about 7.2% of this expansion growth.  The regions of South America (26.2%), Sub-Saharan Africa (24.4%), East Asia (15.8%), the former Soviet-Union (14.7%), and South Asia (7.9%) all had more harvested acre growth expansion than the USA.  It’s also interesting to note that the European Union and “Rest of World” decreased their contribution in this regard.


As we try to look forward and think about the next era of crop expansion, it’s hard to fathom what will incentivize the growth (who would have predicted in the 90’s that ethanol would help fuel the next ag-boom?).  To me, it will probably be a factor of several things – more demand will arise due to both a desire for better diets and increased population.  But, several questions remain… How will bio-fuels impact future cropping decisions?  Will the trend shift from crop acre expansion to livestock expansion?  How much will technology and thus increased productivity off-set demand?  Which countries will lead the charge?  Will people take a greater interest in producing their own food?

Whatever the answers, we’ll have a front row seat in the coming decades to witness it all!

https://aei.ag/2021/02/01/global-acreage-expansions-old-and-new...